women Penn State 1

  
Penn State            
W-L: (12- 7)  PR =    95.4520
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 207 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   (13- 4, 93.4)    10- 9   
 211 H Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   (16- 3, 93.3)    17- 9   
 215 H Bucknell               Patriot       (10- 7, 89.7)    21- 9   
 218 H Pittsburgh             ACC           ( 9- 7, 93.5)    12-11   
 222 A Drexel                 Colonial      ( 5-11, 89.5)    16- 3   
 228 A Cornell                Ivy League    ( 9- 6, 94.3)    11- 9   
 304 H Colgate                Patriot       ( 5-10, 88.4)    20- 8   
 308 A San Diego State        Big 12        ( 3-13, 86.6)    18- 6   
 312 A Southern California    Big Ten       ( 8- 9, 92.0)    19- 8   
 315 H Princeton              Ivy League    (11- 7, 95.1)    11-14   
 322 H Michigan               Big Ten       (13- 7, 96.4)     6-11   
 329 A Maryland               Big Ten       (18- 3, 97.3)    13-14   
 405 A Ohio State             Big Ten       ( 9- 8, 93.6)    18- 9   
 409 H Oregon                 Big Ten       ( 6-10, 87.9)    19- 9   
 412 H Northwestern           Big Ten       (17- 3, 98.3)    12-17   
 416 H Johns Hopkins          Big Ten       (17- 4, 96.8)     9-10   
 418 A Rutgers                Big Ten       (11- 9, 94.1)    18-15   
 422 A Michigan               Big Ten       (13- 7, 96.4)    12-13   
 508 N Stanford               ACC           (17- 5, 97.1)     5- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A Richmond               10- 9       1     1          -0.47
   211 H Massachusetts          17- 9       8     3    +      2.24
   215 H Bucknell               21- 9      12     6           0.00
   218 H Pittsburgh             12-11       1     3          -1.54
   222 A Drexel                 16- 3      13     5           0.00
   228 A Cornell                11- 9       2     1           1.46
   304 H Colgate                20- 8      12     8           0.00
   308 A San Diego State        18- 6      12     8           0.00
   312 A Southern California    19- 8      11     3    +      2.12
   315 H Princeton              11-14      -3     1    -     -3.87
   322 H Michigan                6-11      -5     0    --    -4.59
   329 A Maryland               13-14      -1    -2           1.41
   405 A Ohio State             18- 9       9     1    +      3.69
   409 H Oregon                 19- 9      10     8           0.00
   412 H Northwestern           12-17      -5    -2    -     -2.73
   416 H Johns Hopkins           9-10      -1    -1          -0.19
   418 A Rutgers                18-15       3     1    +      2.25
   422 A Michigan               12-13      -1    -2           0.55
   508 N Stanford                5- 7      -2    -2          -0.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Michigan                6-11      -5     0    --    -4.59
   315 H Princeton              11-14      -3     1    -     -3.87
   412 H Northwestern           12-17      -5    -2    -     -2.73

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 H Massachusetts          17- 9       8     3    +      2.24
   312 A Southern California    19- 8      11     3    +      2.12
   405 A Ohio State             18- 9       9     1    +      3.69
   418 A Rutgers                18-15       3     1    +      2.25

Penn State PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Akron	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Albany	Penn State		tied - 1- 1	Penn State
American	Penn State		Penn State 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Arizona State	Penn State		Penn State 4- 1 vs 2- 3
Army	Penn State		tied - 3- 2	Penn State
Austin Peay	Penn State			Penn State
Binghamton	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Boston College	Boston College		Boston College 2- 2 vs 1- 3
Boston University	Penn State		Penn State 3- 0 vs 2- 1
Brown	Penn State		Penn State 2- 1 vs 1- 2
Bryant	Penn State		Penn State 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Bucknell	Penn State	Penn State
Butler	Penn State			Penn State
California	Penn State		Penn State 3- 1 vs 2- 2
Campbell	Penn State		tied - 1- 0	Penn State
Canisius	Penn State			Penn State
Central Connecticut	Penn State			Penn State
Central Michigan	Penn State		Penn State 2- 2 vs 0- 4
Cincinnati	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Clemson	Clemson		tied - 1- 1	Clemson
Coastal Carolina	Penn State			Penn State
Colgate	Penn State	Penn State
Colorado	Colorado		Colorado 3- 1 vs 2- 2
Columbia	Penn State		Penn State 3- 1 vs 1- 3
Connecticut	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Cornell	Penn State	Penn State
Dartmouth	Penn State		Penn State 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Davidson	Penn State		Penn State 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Delaware	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Delaware State	Penn State		Penn State 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Denver	Denver		tied - 1- 1	Denver
Detroit Mercy	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Drexel	Penn State	Penn State
Duke	Penn State		Penn State 2- 2 vs 1- 3
Duquesne	Penn State		Penn State 1- 0 vs 0- 1
East Carolina	Penn State		tied - 1- 0	Penn State
Eastern Michigan	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Elon	Penn State		Penn State 1- 1 vs 0- 2
Fairfield	Penn State		tied - 1- 0	Penn State
Fairleigh Dickinson	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Florida	Florida		tied - 1- 1	Florida
Florida State	Penn State		Penn State 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Furman	Penn State			Penn State
Gardner Webb	Penn State			Penn State
George Mason	Penn State		Penn State 1- 0 vs 0- 1
George Washington	Penn State		Penn State 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Georgetown	Georgetown		Georgetown 2- 1 vs 1- 2
Harvard	Penn State		Penn State 1- 1 vs 0- 2
High Point	Penn State			Penn State
Hofstra	Penn State		Penn State 2- 2 vs 1- 3
Holy Cross	Penn State		Penn State 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Howard (DC)	Penn State			Penn State
Iona	Penn State			Penn State
Jacksonville	Penn State			Penn State
James Madison	Penn State		Penn State 3- 3 vs 1- 4
Johns Hopkins	Johns Hopkins	Johns Hopkins
Kennesaw State	Penn State			Penn State
Kent State	Penn State		Penn State 4- 0 vs 1- 3
La Salle	Penn State		Penn State 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lafayette	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Le Moyne	Penn State			Penn State
Lehigh	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Liberty	Penn State		Penn State 1- 1 vs 0- 2
Lindenwood	Penn State			Penn State
LIU	Penn State		Penn State 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Longwood	Penn State			Penn State
Louisville	Penn State		Penn State 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Loyola (MD)	Loyola (MD)		Loyola (MD) 3- 1 vs 2- 2
Manhattan	Penn State			Penn State
Marist	Penn State			Penn State
Marquette	Penn State		tied - 0- 1	Penn State
Maryland	Maryland	Maryland
Massachusetts	Penn State	Penn State
Massachusetts-Lowell	Penn State		Penn State 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Mercer	Penn State		tied - 0- 1	Penn State
Mercyhurst	Penn State			Penn State
Merrimack	Penn State			Penn State
Michigan	Michigan	Michigan
Monmouth (NJ)	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mount St Marys	Penn State			Penn State
Navy	Navy		Navy 3- 0 vs 3- 1
New Hampshire	Penn State			Penn State
New Haven	Penn State			Penn State
Niagara	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2
North Carolina	North Carolina		North Carolina 3- 1 vs 2- 2
Northwestern	Northwestern	Northwestern
Notre Dame	Notre Dame		Notre Dame 2- 1 vs 1- 2
Ohio State	Penn State	Penn State
Old Dominion	Penn State			Penn State
Oregon	Penn State	Penn State
Penn	Penn		Penn 3- 2 vs 2- 3
Pittsburgh	Penn State	Penn State
Presbyterian	Penn State			Penn State
Princeton	Princeton	Princeton
Queens	Penn State			Penn State
Quinnipiac	Penn State			Penn State
Radford	Penn State			Penn State
Rhode Island	Penn State		Penn State 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Richmond	Penn State	Penn State
Rider	Penn State		Penn State 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Robert Morris	Penn State		Penn State 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Rutgers	Penn State	Penn State
Sacred Heart	Penn State			Penn State
San Diego State	Penn State	Penn State
Siena	Penn State			Penn State
South Florida	Penn State		Penn State 1- 1 vs 0- 2
Southern California	Penn State	Penn State
St Bonaventure	Penn State		Penn State 4- 0 vs 0- 4
St Josephs (PA)	Penn State		Penn State 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Stanford	Stanford	Stanford
Stetson	Penn State			Penn State
Stonehill	Penn State			Penn State
Stony Brook	Stony Brook		Stony Brook 3- 2 vs 2- 3
Syracuse	Syracuse		Syracuse 3- 2 vs 2- 3
Temple	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Towson	Penn State		tied - 1- 1	Penn State
UC Davis	Penn State		Penn State 4- 1 vs 1- 4
UMBC	Penn State		Penn State 1- 0 vs 0- 1
UNC-Charlotte	Penn State			Penn State
Vanderbilt	Penn State		Penn State 1- 1 vs 0- 2
VCU	Penn State		Penn State 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Vermont	Penn State		Penn State 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Villanova	Penn State		tied - 1- 1	Penn State
Virginia	Penn State		tied - 2- 3	Penn State
Virginia Tech	Penn State		Penn State 1- 1 vs 0- 2
Wagner	Penn State		Penn State 1- 0 vs 0- 1
William & Mary	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Winthrop	Penn State			Penn State
Wofford	Penn State			Penn State
Xavier	Penn State		Penn State 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Yale	Yale		Yale 2- 1 vs 1- 2
Youngstown State	Penn State		Penn State 3- 0 vs 0- 3

PairWisePlus = 112

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.28

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Richmond        (13- 4, 93.4)    10- 9       -6.49      19.57       0.57         0.91            18.31
   0 H Massachusetts   (16- 3, 93.3)    17- 9       -6.65      19.41      -0.57         0.91            17.14
   0 H Bucknell        (10- 7, 89.7)    21- 9      -10.20      15.86      -0.57         0.91            13.91
   0 H Pittsburgh      ( 9- 7, 93.5)    12-11       -6.42      19.64      -0.57         0.91            17.34
   0 A Drexel          ( 5-11, 89.5)    16- 3      -10.40      15.67       0.57         0.91            14.76
   0 A Cornell         ( 9- 6, 94.3)    11- 9       -5.56      20.50       0.57         0.91            19.16
   0 H Colgate         ( 5-10, 88.4)    20- 8      -11.47      14.59      -0.57         0.91            12.75
   0 A San Diego Stat  ( 3-13, 86.6)    18- 6      -13.30      12.77       0.57         0.91            12.12
   0 A Southern Calif  ( 8- 9, 92.0)    19- 8       -7.89      18.17       0.57         0.91            17.04
   0 H Princeton       (11- 7, 95.1)    11-14       -4.75      21.31      -0.57         0.91            -4.84
   0 H Michigan        (13- 7, 96.4)     6-11       -3.47      22.59      -0.57         0.91            -3.67
   0 A Maryland        (18- 3, 97.3)    13-14       -2.60      23.46       0.57         0.91            -1.85
   0 A Ohio State      ( 9- 8, 93.6)    18- 9       -6.33      19.73       0.57         0.91            18.46
   0 H Oregon          ( 6-10, 87.9)    19- 9      -12.01      14.05      -0.57         0.91            12.26
   0 H Northwestern    (17- 3, 98.3)    12-17       -1.61      24.45      -0.57         0.91            -1.98
   0 H Johns Hopkins   (17- 4, 96.8)     9-10       -3.07      22.99      -0.57         0.91            -3.31
   0 A Rutgers         (11- 9, 94.1)    18-15       -5.76      20.30       0.57         0.91            18.97
   0 A Michigan        (13- 7, 96.4)    12-13       -3.47      22.59       0.57         0.91            -2.64
   0 N Stanford        (17- 5, 97.1)     5- 7       -2.77      23.29      -0.00         0.91            -2.52
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       171.43

winning pts = 192.2290 losing points = -20.7966

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------